Dear PANDA,
Since 15 March the public authorities here in the State of Goiás (where I live, in central Brazil) have been informing us of the GREAT PERIL we are all at RISK of, due to the COVID-19 pandemic. And since 15 March I have been pestering those same public authorities (through use of the Brazilian LAW OF INFORMATION ACCESS) with questions regarding the EXACT NATURE OF THAT RISK. So far, the official answer is that THEY CANNOT AT THIS TIME QUANTIFY THE EXACT NATURE OF THAT RISK , while at the same time enacting all kinds of restrictions on account of it.
But thank GOD good sense has generally prevailed, and no LOCKDOWNS we have suffered!