Is a ‘second wave’ coming for SA – Cape Talk

Is a second wave coming for SA? Cape Talk's Lester Kiewitt discusses the apparent second waves in Europe and SA with PANDA's Piet Streicher.

Is a ‘second wave’ coming? Piet Streicher, a member of Pandemics ~ Data and Analytics (PANDA) spoke to CapeTalk a few months ago to look at the trends they were identifying and what it meant for the path the pandemic would take through SA in the coming months.

Streicher talks to Lester Kiewit.

He says it is important to look at all the parameters – including hospitalisations, ICU bed occupancy, and fatalities

In the Western Cape, we have seen a very consistent downward trend, so last time I spoke to Refilwe Moloto I predicted the Western Cape would get to below 10 deaths a day by the end of September, and we got to that point on the 20th of September.

Piet Streicher – Pandemic Data Analytics

The downward trend is quite predictable and the same trend can be seen in South Africa where fatalities are halving every 24 days.

If this trend continues for South Africa, it will also get to below 10 fatalities a day by mid-December.

Piet Streicher – Pandemic Data Analytics

The second wave?

Streicher says in Europe testing has increased ten-fold.

Listen to the Cape Talk podcast


Publisher’s note: The opinions and findings expressed in articles, reports and interviews on this website are not necessarily the opinions of PANDA, its directors or associates.

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