Covid-19 epidemiologists: Fortune-tellers or witches? PANDA reviews the evidence
< 1 min read Part I: reviewing the models used to justify lockdown.
By Nick Hudson, Shayne Krige and Ian McGorian*
Science
Exploring Inter-Country Variation
< 1 min read One of the most interesting features of the COVID-19 outbreak is the stark difference between mortality experience in different countries. No simple and plausible explanations that we are aware of have been advanced.
While our results explain roughly half of the inter-country variability, they appear to be far more robust than the current explanations in circulation. We are hopeful that other researchers will identify factors that can improve our model.
PANDA rips Cape Covid-19 data to shreds; projections ‘catastrophically wrong’
< 1 min read Just as one group of modellers goes to ground after getting things catastrophically wrong for foreseeable reasons, a new one emerges to repeat the trick. A game of modeller whack-a-mole, anybody?
PANDA on a crusade to force disclosure of SA’s Covid models
< 1 min read Shayne Krige and Nick Hudson Business Day: Katharine Child
Inperking was nooit nodig se datagroep
< 1 min read Referencing Panda Netwerk24: Jana Breytenbach
Understanding inter-regional differences in Covid-19 mortality rates.
< 1 min read In this note, we present a model of deaths due to COVID-19 disease and attempt to explain differences between geographic regions using a few critical factors that are shaping policy decisions and scientific debates.
More pushback on “nonsensical” govt Covid-19 data
< 1 min read Ian McGorian Chris Bateman – Biz News
Government projections on SA Covid-19 fatalities questioned by private research group
< 1 min read Interview with Rebecca Davis – Daily Maverick
The Epidemiologists Who Missed The Boat
7 min read In early February, a virus broke out on the Diamond Princess. Harrowing accounts began to emerge, but for those looking at the data, the cruise ship represented a pot of gold.
Quantifying Years of Lost Life
2 min read By employing a “years of lost life” approach to comparing benefits and harms of lockdown, PANDA’s research paper avoids the false dichotomy of “lives versus the economy”. Viruses kill. But the economy sustains lives and poverty kills too.