The PHE data that goes against the narrative – Hunting down symptomatic COVID-19
< 1 min read Download the article The PHE data that goes against the narrative from PandataAnalytics
Data
Examining Excess Deaths Reporting
10 min read There is a persistent narrative that South Africa’s official COVID-19 death tally is significantly undercounted because reported excess deaths are higher than the official COVID-19 death toll. It is time to dispel the three most prominent myths around South Africa’s excess death reporting.
PANDA: More evidence lockdown is complete failure in fighting Covid-19 – the SA picture
< 1 min read One of the most important findings from the masses of emerging Covid-19 data is the complete failure of the lockdown theory as a means of reducing the pace at which the infection spreads—what is known as the “reproduction rate”. Governments and modelers have assumed that imposition and relaxation of lockdowns would cause step-changes in the reproduction rate, but in country after country, no such step-changes can be seen. Reproduction rates track a linearly declining path.
Excess Deaths Oddities
9 min read The SAMRC report attempts to show that the coronavirus pandemic has led to almost 11,000 fatalities, more than three times the official death count. Our view is that this claim is false and that simple and logical adjustments to the data for known reporting issues cause the excess fatality number to align much more closely with recorded COVID-19 deaths.
PandaCast | Gompertz & D-Models
< 1 min read A technical discussion between Nick Hudson, Piet Streicher and Miguel Lacerda of PANDA, about the Gompertz Curve and D-models statistical tools.
PandaCast | Gompertz Curves & D-Models
< 1 min read A technical discussion of Gompertz Curves & D-Models between PANDAs Nick Hudson, Piet Streicher and Miguel Lacerda. One for the data-heads!
Exploring Inter-Country Variation
< 1 min read One of the most interesting features of the COVID-19 outbreak is the stark difference between mortality experience in different countries. No simple and plausible explanations that we are aware of have been advanced.
While our results explain roughly half of the inter-country variability, they appear to be far more robust than the current explanations in circulation. We are hopeful that other researchers will identify factors that can improve our model.
Exploring inter-country coronavirus mortality
2 min read One of the most interesting features of the COVID-19 outbreak is the stark difference between mortality experience in different countries. This working document explores some simple and plausible explanations.
Understanding inter-regional differences in Covid-19 mortality rates.
< 1 min read In this note, we present a model of deaths due to COVID-19 disease and attempt to explain differences between geographic regions using a few critical factors that are shaping policy decisions and scientific debates.
More pushback on “nonsensical” govt Covid-19 data
< 1 min read Ian McGorian Chris Bateman – Biz News