Data

Analysis: How Bad Is The Bug?

12 min read Assessing the lethality of SARS-CoV2 in spring 2020 by comparing the age distribution of deceased SARS-CoV2-positives with the age distribution of all deceased from the mortality register in Italy, Germany, France, Spain and England.

excess deaths PANDA

Examining Excess Deaths Reporting

10 min read There is a persistent narrative that South Africa’s official COVID-19 death tally is significantly undercounted because reported excess deaths are higher than the official COVID-19 death toll. It is time to dispel  the  three most prominent myths around South Africa’s excess death reporting.

PANDA Scientific Board

Excess Deaths Oddities

9 min read The SAMRC report attempts to show that the coronavirus pandemic has led to almost 11,000 fatalities, more than three times the official death count. Our view is that this claim is false and that simple and logical adjustments to the data for known reporting issues cause the excess fatality number to align much more closely with recorded COVID-19 deaths.

excess deaths PANDA

Exploring Inter-Country Variation

< 1 min read One of the most interesting features of the COVID-19 outbreak is the stark difference between mortality experience in different countries. No simple and plausible explanations that we are aware of have been advanced.

While our results explain roughly half of the inter-country variability, they appear to be far more robust than the current explanations in circulation. We are hopeful that other researchers will identify factors that can improve our model.

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